Document Type : applicative
Authors
1 Master of Economic, Department of Economics, Faculty of managment Payam noor Tehran
2 Assistant Professor, Department of Economics, Faculty of manegment , Payam noor Tehran
3 Assistant Professor, Department of Economics, Faculty of managment, Payam noor Tehran.
Abstract
Gas to liquid (GTL), is an industry that uses special chemical methods that converts natural gas or other light gaseous hydrocarbons into heavier chain hydrocarbons such as gasoline, gas oil, and other heavier products usually obtained in the crude oil refining process. In this study, the global supply function of GTL industry was investigated. The necessary information was obtained from a valid source from 1987 to 2019 and the autoregressive distributed lag model was used to investigate the impact.
The results of estimating the model with dynamic, long-term and error correction models were estimate, and the results show that the interval of logarithm variable of GTL supply has a positive and significant effect on the logarithm of GTL supply in the current period and its coefficient is equal to 0.01 units. The results also show that the first interval of the logarithm of the oil and gas gross production variable with 0.25 units influences the logarithm of GTL supply in the current period and the logarithm of natural gas price with a coefficient of 0.09 units has a positive and significant effect on the logarithm of GTL supply. According to the obtained results, it is suggested to increase the surplus of gas production by improving and reducing wastage in consumption on the one hand and investing in increasing production on the other hand. Also, competitive pricing to encourage investors in the development of this industry should not be overlooked.
Keywords