In collaboration with Iranian Association for Energy Economics(IRAEE) and Scientific Association of Defence Economics of Iran(SADEI)

Document Type : applicative

Authors

1 Economics Ph.D. Student, Faculty of Economics & Administrative Sciences,Department of Economics, Ferdowsi University of Mashhad

2 Associate Professor of Economics, Faculty of Economics & Administrative Sciences,Department of Economics, Ferdowsi University of Mashhad

Abstract

One of the major events of 2020 is the corona epidemic disease, which has a profound impact on the global economy and financial markets. Because stock market returns react to important events, this study examines the stock returns of food, agriculture, pharmaceutical, tourism, and hotel industries in the context of the corona epidemic. For this purpose, using the data panel method, we have investigated the effect of daily deaths due to the Covid-19 virus from 22/02/2020 to 31/07/2021. The results indicate that the death numbers due to Covid-19 have a significant and asymmetric relationship with the stock returns of selected industries. Other variables, including the exchange rate-US dollar and the price of 18-carat gold, were also examined and had a significant, positive, and negative relationship with the stock returns of selected industries. Further analysis shows the asymmetric effect of Covid-19 mortality on stock returns of various industries. So that the return on stocks of the tourism industry, hotel management has a negative and significant relationship with daily mortality due to Corona. The variable of the daily death numbers due to Covid-19 with the stock returns of food and pharmaceutical industries is positive and statistically significant.

Keywords

آرغا، لیلا. علیزاده، شیوا. محنت­فر، یوسف. طاهری­نیا، مسعود.(1400). رابطه پایه سهامداری و نوسانات بازدهی سرمایه­گذاری در شرکت­های صنعتی پذیرفته شده در بورس اوراق بهادار تهران، فصلنامه علمی پژوهش­های اقتصاد صنعتی، 5(15): 75-99.
اسلاملوییان، کریم. زارع، هاشم.( 1385). بررسی تاثیر متغیرهای کلان و دارایی­های جایگزین بر قیمت سهام در ایران: یک الگوی خودهمبسته با وقفه­های توزیعی، پژوهش­های اقتصادی ایران، 8(29):17-46.
حسینیون، نیلوفر سادات. بهنامه، مهدی. ابراهیمی سالاری، تقی. (1395). « بررسی انتقال تلاطم نرخ بازده بین بازار های سهام، طلا و ارز در ایران »، فصلنامه پژوهش­های اقتصادی ایران، 66، 123-150.
رضایی، فرزین. عازم، حامد.(1391). « تاثیر شدت رقابتی و راهبرد تجاری بر ارتباط بین اهرم مالی و عملکرد شرکت‌ها »، فصلنامه علمی- پژوهشی حسابداری مدیریت، 12، 101-115.
کتابفروش بدری، آرش. میرزاپور باباجان، اکبر. اکبری مقدم، بیت اله. (1399). «تاثیر شوکهای سیاست پولی بر قیمت کالاهای صنعتی منتخب در ایران با روش بیزین ور»، فصلنامه علمی پژوهش­های اقتصاد صنعتی، 4(12)، 72-57.
کریم،زاده، مصطفی. ( 1385). « بررسی رابطه بلند مدت شاخص قیمت سهام بورس با متغیرهای کلان پولی با استفاده از روش هم جمعی در اقتصاد ایران »، فصلنامه پژوهش‌های اقتصادی، 8(26)، 41-54.
Al-Awadhi, A.M.  Alsaifi, KH. Al-Awadhi, A.  Alhammadi, S. (2020). “Death and ontagious infectious diseases: Impact of the COVID-19 virus on stock market returns”, Journal of Behavioral and Experimental Finance, 27, 1-6.
Ayoub, R. (2020). “Stock market vulnerability to the Covid-19 pandemic: Evidence from emerging Asian stock markets”, MPRA, No. 101774.
Branson, W.H. (1983). “Macroeconomic Determinants of Real Exchange Risk In: Managing Foreign Exchange Risk”, Cambridge University, Cambridge.
Ciner, C. (2020). “Stock Return Predictability in the time of COVID-19”, Finance Research Letters, 101705.
Dornbusch, R. Fischer, S. (1980). “Exchange Rates and the Current Account”, the American Economic Review, 70(5), 960–971.
Erdem, O. (2020). “Freedom and stock market performance during Covid-19 outbreak”, Finance Research Letters.
Gavin, M. (1989). “The stock market and exchange rate dynamics”, Journal of International Money and Finance, 8, 181–200.
Http://news.samanese.ir/
John Hopkins University. (2020). “Coronavirus COVID-19 Global Cases by Johns Hopkins CSSE”.
Just, M. Echaus, K. (2020). “Stock market returns, volatility, correlation and liquidity during the COVID-19 crisis: Evidence from the Markov switching approach”, Finance Research Letters, 1-8.
Levin, A. Lin, C. F. Chu, C. (2002). “Unit Root Tests in Panel Data: Asymptotic and Finite-Sample”.
Li, Y. Liang, C. Ma, F.  Wang, J. (2020). “The role of the IDEMV in predicting European stock market volatility during the COVID-19 pandemic”, Finance research letters, 36, 101749.
Li, Q. Wang, T. Li, P. Liu, L. Gong, Q. Chen, Y. (2014). “The effect of news and public mood on stock movements”, Inf. Sci. (Ny). 278, 826–840.
Mazur, M. Dang, M. Vega, M. (2020). “COVID-19 and the March 2020 stock market crash: Evidence from S&P1500”, Finance Research Letters, 1-8.
Morales, L. Callaghan, B.A. (2020). “Covid19: Global Stock Markets Black Swan”, Critical Letters in Economics & Finance , 1, 0–14.
Narayan, P. K. Devpura, N. Hua, W. (2020). “Japanese currency and stock market—What happened during the COVID-19 pandemic?”,Economic Analysis and Policy.
Narayan, P. K. Phan, D. H. B. Liu, G. (2020). “COVID-19 lockdowns, stimulus packages, travel bans, and stock returns”, Finance research letters, 101732.
Perron, P. (1989). “The great crash, the oil price shock and the unit root hypothesis”, Econometrica, 57, 1361-1401.
Pharmaceutical Technology. (2020). “Coronavirus: A timeline of how the deadly Covid-19 outbreak is evolving”.
Rudden, J.(2020). “Change in global stock index values during coronavirus outbreak 2020”,https://www.statista.com/statistics/1105021/coronavirus-outbreak-stock-market-change/.
Samadi, A. H. Owjimehr, S. Nezhad Halafi, Z. (2020). “The cross impact between financial markets, Covid- 19 pandemic, and economics: The case of Iran”, Journal of policy modeling, 1-22.
Sansa, N.A. (2020). “The impact of the Covid-19 on the financial markets: Evidence from China and USA”, Electronic Research Journal of Social Sciences and Humanities, 2.
Sharif, A. Aloui, C. Yarovaya, L. (2020). “COVID-19 pandemic, oil prices, stock market and policy uncertainty nexus in the us